Baller Mind Frame

Steaming Hot NFL Picks Week 11

Image courtesy of the NFL.

Image courtesy of the NFL.

Week 10 of the NFL season was a tough one for betting. As a matter of fact it was a tough week for favorites. Only three of them won last week, while the rest all got upset. Including myself. For the first time all year, unfortunately, I went 0-3 last week. Although it doesn’t usually happen to me, it did last week but everything is going to be okay. After all we are looking at this from an overall season point of view because my record on the season is still a winning one. I am at a steady and consistent 17-13 out of 30 bets this season.

In other words, if you bet using the advice found on BMF Sports, you’re more than a winner, you’re a genius!

Straight Bet of the week
Oakland Raiders -1 @ Detroit Lions

If you have been a consistent reader of article from week-to-week, you know I like to ride a hot hand. Other than Tom Brady, there is only one other quarterback performing at an elite level from week-to-week. That stud is Derek Carr.

Over the last four games Carr is averaging 306 yards in that time and has tossed 13 touchdowns while only throwing three interceptions. Those numbers are coming against top defense’s as well. With a juicy sweet matchup for Carr and his band of wideouts this week, I expect this offense to explode coming off a loss to NFC North leading, Minnesota Vikings.

The Lions are coming off a massive win against the Packers and that may scare you away from this game but don’t let it. No matter what new offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter throws at the Oakland defense it will not matter. The Lions defense will be lucky to stop the white-hot Carr from chucking the ball all over the field Sunday.

For the record, that last paragraph was constructed because I wanted to write Jim Bob Cooter. Thank you Mr. And Mrs. Cooter.

O/U of the week
St. Louis Rams @ Baltimore Ravens
Over 41 1/2

Case Keenum is set to start on Sunday for the Rams in place of the benched, Nick Foles. Normally I would never take the over in a game where a mediocre (being nice) backup is set to start. Plus the Rams don’t have many options in the passing game even with the recent addition of the 33-year-old Wes Welker. Not to mention, the unbelievable rookie season running back Todd Gurley is having, of course making the Rams more dependant on the running game.

So what the hell am I doing telling you to take the over in this game?

Well one stat will sway you to my side of the over. The Ravens have allowed the fifth most points in the AFC to opposing teams, 236 to be exact. All the while they have racked up 210 points of their own. Meaning the defense in Baltimore will make Case Keenum look like the second-coming of Kurt Warner, but they will score plenty of points on the stingy defense of the Rams.

The Ravens have made every game they are involved in a close one. Albeit high scoring games, but they have certainly made all seven of their loses this year dramatic. The Ravens D will let the team down early forcing the Ravens to throw ball a ton.

Joe Flacco may not be a winner but he will undoubtedly use that cannon arm to fire so cash right into your pocket.

Three team tease of the week
Denver Broncos +1 @ Chicago Bears
San Francisco 49ers +13 @ Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers -7 vs Washington Redskins

Broncos +10
I understand Peyton Manning is riding the pine on this one and of course we have no idea what Brock Osweiler can bring to that offense. The big decision maker for me was how the Broncos have been winning games this season. Even when Manning started his major drop off in the beginning of this season the team was still winning games via their defense.

They have a tandem of pass rushers off the edge in Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware that scare just about any quarterback into submission at the snap. In the secondary they are packed full of talent topped off by Aqib Talib and Chris Harris Jr. If that’s jot enough to worry opposing wideouts, T.J. Ward will certainly scare them away from the middle of the field. With Jack Del Rio calling the plays into that defense they have been one of the better units in the NFL.

With that type of firepower on defense, I would be confident getting 10 points even if I were there quarterback of the team.

49ers +22
That’s correct. In a three team tease you’re getting 22 freakin’ points with the 49ers.

The Seahawks aren’t what they used to be at home and again, I repeat 22 FREAKIN’ POINTS!

Hawks are one of the worst teams in the NFL against the spread at 2-6-1 and and even more lousy 1-3 at home. Did I mention the 49ers are getting 22 points?

That means they can lose by three touchdowns and you will still cover in a tease. No NFL team will let you down getting 22 points. Bet on it.

Panthers +2
This just in: the Carolina Panthers are really really good.

As a matter of fact they are one of the two (Patriots) most complete teams in the league. As good as Washington has played as of late their offense will look statuesque against the Panthers.

Give me the home team getting points.

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