Baller Mind Frame

Prop It Like It’s Hot: Week 3 NFL Prop Bets

Photo courtesy of Erik Drost/Flickr

Photo courtesy of Erik Drost/Flickr

If last weeks prop bets were any indication to how the rest of the season will be, then it’s going to be a very long one. My bets were awful so hopefully that was just first week jitters.

How many snaps will Johnny Manziel take in Week 3? Over (-120)/Under (-120)

In unexpected fashion last week, Johnny Manziel, played three snaps against the New Orleans Saints and was very ineffective. Manziel went 0-1 in three snaps, but received just as much Sports Center coverage as Brian Hoyer did for leading the Cleveland Browns to victory. The Saints have a horrible defense so I can see why they tried a Manziel package last week, but against the Baltimore Ravens, I don’t see them trying it again.

Total New York Jets Turnovers: 1 (+180), 2 (+230), 3 (+450)

Geno Smith was a turnover machine last season and in his first two games this year, he already has three turnovers (two interceptions, one fumble). Smith is usually a sure bet to turn the ball over at least once, so I like the one turnover bet at +180.

First Scoring Play (Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers): Atlanta Touchdown (+135), Atlanta Field Goal (+333), Tampa Bay Touchdown (+280), Tampa Bay Field Goal (+375), Any Team Safety (+4000) 

This bet is purely on a gut feeling. The Atlanta Falcons have allowed a field goal to begin each of their first two games this season, but against the weaker Tampa Bay Buccaneers, I expect Atlanta to score the first points. I’d either bet that Atlanta scores a touchdown or a field goal to begin the game, but with a juicy +333 line I would rather take my chances that they kick a field goal.

Total Touchdown Passes (Kirk Cousins): Over 1.5 (-150), Under 1.5 (+120)

Kirk Cousins only threw for two touchdowns last week against an awful Jacksonville Jaguars team, but he was without DeSean Jackson. Fortunately for the Washington Redskins, they are playing the Philadelphia Eagles this week, which happens to be his former team, so I expect Cousins to hook up with Jackson as much as possible. Jackson, despite his injury, will be playing with a chip on his shoulder so that added incentive should benefit Cousins. 

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