Baller Mind Frame

Prop It Like It’s Hot: Week 7 NFL Prop Bets

Image courtesy of Craig Hawkins/Flickr.

Image courtesy of Craig Hawkins/Flickr.

It’s Week 7 of the NFL, baby! Another week means it’s another chance for me to totally redeem myself and get back into the win column. Unfortunately, I will probably continue to crash and burn like Geno Smith as a starting quarterback…. Too soon? Alright, let’s get back at it with another edition of Prop It Like It’s Hot.

Player to score the first Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown? (Cecil Shorts III: +1200)

The stat lines for the Jacksonville Jaguars so far this season are not pretty. They are last in the league in rushing yards and 23rd in the league in passing yards, while their defense is allowing 294.0 points per game (30th in the league). That’s not going to win them a lot of football games this season and at the rate they’re going they may not even win one. However, you know what makes the Jaguars exciting every week? Gambling on them! So for the heck of it, let’s say that the Jaguars are actually going to score a touchdown and the player who does it for them first will be Cecil Shorts III. The only reason I picked him is because we share the same birthday, so it’s pretty much meant to be.

Will Peyton Manning record his 509th career touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers? (Yes: -180)

Normally I would say that throwing three touchdowns would be a stretch against the 49ers, but this is Peyton Manning in a night game with history to be made. Manning plays better when the pressure is on, and to be even crazier, he’ll do it in the first half! Manning will break the record and have Tony Dungy crying at halftime during the NBC broadcast.

Over/Under 100 rushing yards for DeMarco Murray (Over: +110)

There are only two games this season in which Murray has rushed for fewer than 120 yards in. That is absolutely insane. If I had a pick for Most Valuable Player, it is DeMarco Murray. The ability to rush for that many yards in six consecutive games hasn’t been approached since Adrian Peterson had a stretch of eight consecutive 100-yard games (including two games of over 200 yards) in 2012. There’s something special about Murray and I don’t think the streak of over 100 yards will stop against the New York Giants. Murray will rush for 125 yards and two touchdowns.

Who will have more receptions? Steve Smith Sr. or Julio Jones? (Julio Jones -150) 

Smith Sr. has had at least five catches in every game this season, while Jones has put up some huge numbers already, including an 11-catch game. Although the consistency has been good from Smith Sr., and it’s always tough not rooting for a guy in professional sports with Sr. on the back of his jersey, I have to go with Julio Jones this week. He’s just too good not to win this prop bet.

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