Baller Mind Frame

Steve’s Weekly NFL Bettor’s Guide: Week 9

Image courtesy of Algorhythm Labs/Flickr.

Image courtesy of Algorhythm Labs/Flickr.

Every NFL bet ever made sounds good at the time. “Sure, I’ll put $50 down on Jerry Jones not interfering with the coaching of Jason Garrett.” Seems like a simple one at the time, but oh how you were wrong, hypothetical bettor.

My idiotic bet is one that is in-house, with fellow Baller Mind Frame contributor Sonny Giuliano. I thought it would be a grand idea to bet him that I would pick more games correctly against the spread than he could without the spread. And unlike Bill Simmons, I cannot give myself an undefeated record while I am suspended, although it is a great way to troll ESPN.

Back to football, even though basketball is baaaaaaaaaack!

The first game of the week, New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers, presents a tough pick. The Saints dismantled the Green Bay Packers last Sunday, but they have yet to win a game on the road. It is just tough to think that they will falter after such a dominating performance, even if it is in Carolina. Going with the Saints in this one.

The Dallas Cowboys come into this week after an interesting decision to put the injured Tony Romo back into the game when Brandon Weeden and Colt McCoy were having a shootout in the only way former Cleveland Browns quarterbacks could. Jerry Jones was like a crazy dad in youth football telling Jason Garrett to put Romo back in, which could have ended very badly.

They face the dominant Arizona Cardinals defense this week, whose only loss came against the Denver Broncos. It should be close but I do not see the Cowboys coming out on top. Also, look for DeMarco Murray‘s streak of 100-yard games to finally come to an end. Yes, that is the bold prediction of the week. Mark it down!

The Jacksonville Jaguars come in as 11.5-point underdogs against the Cincinnati Bengals, which could be a trap game based on the spread. The Jaguars are very bad, but they are getting better with Blake Bortles as their quarterback and Denard Robinson as their running back. Or maybe I just have a skewed view because of their domination of the Browns. Either way, I like the Jaguars with this high spread.

Same goes for the Oakland Raiders, who will be gifted 15 points against a Seattle Seahawks team who has struggled in recent weeks. Unlike the Jaguars, the Raiders are not improving at all, but a 14-point spread would be as high as I would go in this one.

The greatest news of the week its that there is no game in London this week. That means no waking up at 9 a.m. to watch a poor display of football being played in front of people who would rather be watching “football.” Follow me?

Here are all the picks, even though we all know everyone will be focusing on the Peyton ManningTom Brady showdown. I’m going #TeamTom in this one. If that is indeed a thing.

New Orleans Saints (-3) vs. Carolina Panthers: Saints -3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cleveland Browns (-7): Browns -7

Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys (-3): Cardinals +3

Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) vs. Houston Texans: Eagles -2.5

New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-10): Chiefs -10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-11.5): Jaguars +11.5

San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins (-1): Chargers +1

Washington Redskins vs. Minnesota Vikings (even): Redskins

St. Louis Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers (-10): 49ers -10

Denver Broncos (-3.5) vs. New England Patriots: Patriots +3.5

Oakland Raiders vs. Seattle Seahawks (-15): Raiders +15

Baltimore Ravens (-1) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ravens -1

Indianapolis Colts (-3.5)  vs. New York Giants: Colts -3.5

Last Week: 7-8

Yearly Record: 61-59-1

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