Culture of Hoops

2017 March Madness – Bracketology Update #1

It’s mid-February, and that means two things:

First, my birthday is in a matter of days. So get excited and start game-planning what gifts y’all are getting for me. It’s a big one this year. I’m going to be a whole quarter-century old.

Second, we’re just a month or so away from the NCAA Tournament, and that means for the first time all year, Bracketology Projections are actually relevant. I’ve been doing Bracketology for five years now, and if you’re wondering why my word is as good as many so-called experts, here’s the proof – I’ve been improving steadily each year, meaning that I’m getting an increasingly solid feel for what the Selection Committee is valuing. Last year on the morning of Selection Sunday, I correctly picked 63 of the 68 teams in the field, and 56 of those teams were seeded correctly or just one line off. In comparison, ESPN nailed 65 of the 68 teams in the field last year. I’m coming for ya Joe Lunardi!

A couple minor changes have been made from the Top 16 that the NCAA Selection Committee announced on Saturday. I nudged Purdue past Butler onto the 4-line and flip-flopped Florida State and Arizona to reflect Florida State’s loss to Notre Dame on Saturday. Without further ado, here it is!

#1 Seeds: Villanova (East Region), Gonzaga (West Region), Kansas (Midwest Region), Baylor (South Region)

Last Four Byes: California, Kansas State, Marquette, Arkansas

Last Four In: Wake Forest, Georgetown, Michigan, Syracuse

First Four Out: Seton Hall, Clemson, Tennessee, Georgia Tech

Next Four Out: Pittsburgh, Indiana, Illinois State, Rhode Island

17 MM-1


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