Baller Mind Frame

Prop It Like It’s Hot: Week 11 NFL Prop Bets

Image courtesy of Keith Allison/Flickr.

Image courtesy of Keith Allison/Flickr.

It’s hard to believe that Week 11 of the National Football League (NFL) season is already here. It seems like yesterday that the New York Jets were 1-0 and on pace for the immaculate perfect season: Oh how things have changed. Week 11 is filled with four incredible matchups, so lets focus on those games this week.

Will Alex Smith Throw a Touchdown Pass to a Wide Receiver? (No: -200)

Alex Smith has not thrown a touchdown pass to a wide receiver all season. How does a team that is 6-3 go nine straight games with a wide receiver getting a touchdown? That’s absolutely nuts. The 30-year-old efficient passer has thrown for 11 touchdowns, but has yet to hit a receiver. Alex Smith is not a quarterback known for breaking records, but after Week 11 he’ll be joining the 1998 Philadelphia Eagles for the first team to go 10 games without throwing a touchdown to a wide receiver.

Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Home Team Quarters Won (Green Bay Four: +1000)

After watching Ben Roethlisberger go back-to-back weeks of throwing six touchdown passes, it has became evident that anything is possible. After Rogers threw six against the Chicago Bears last week, it’s not likely that it’s going to happen again, but if anyone could do it, it’s Rogers at home. Green Bay is a perfect 4-0 at home this season and will keep it rolling against the Eagles. Although it’s a bold prediction, Green Bay will get out to an early lead and keep it going until game’s end.

Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals: Winning Margin (Lions to win 1-5)

Unfortunately for the Cardinals they have Drew Stanton starting for them this week. Although Bruce Arians did say that he feels comfortable with Stanton as his quarterback, it is still quite the downgrade from Carson Palmer. The Cardinals have been incredible at home this season and are arguably the best team in football, but it ends this week. The Lions defense will be too much for Stanton, and the Cardinals will lose a tight game. Final score: Detroit Lions 24, Arizona Cardinals, 21.

Total Rushing Yards – Tom Brady: (Under 2.5 yards +150)

Tom Brady is averaging 1.7 rushing per game this year so what better player to bet on for rushing yards this week than him? Basically, if Brady finds his way out of the pocket just once game, we’re all screwed. Fun fact about Brady is that he has actually rushed for over 100 yards total in a season three times in his career. Who would have known? Fortunately, Brady leaves the pocket about as many times as his lineman eat salad, so I like the under in this bet.

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